Alternative Routes for Deliveries of Kazakh Crude Oil Shipments to the European Union

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14513/actatechjaur.00705

Keywords:

European Union, Kazakhstan, crude oil, export routes, export routes diversification, Russo-Ukrainian war

Abstract

The situation with crude oil shipments from Kazakhstan to the European Union has seriously deteriorated since 24 February 2022 when Russia started its invasion of Ukraine. A series of different incidents, which complicated these deliveries, started soon after the beginning of the invasion and this has again brought to light the need to diversify the export routes for the Kazakh crude oil. In spite of numerous previous appeals, the dependence on the transit via the Russian territory only increased over the last years. This paper analyses the reasons for this increased dependence, considers the alternative routes and their attending circumstances and attempts to suggest potential ways out of this situation. Considering this topic, it is essential to mention that Kazakhstan is among the five top suppliers of crude oil to the European Union, and, at the same time, the European Union is the biggest importer of Kazakh crude oil.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Kumenov Almaz, “Kazakh oil exports across Russia interrupted for fourth time this year,” Aug. 23, 2022. https://eurasianet.org/kazakh-oil-exports-across-russia-interrupted-for-fourth-time-this-year

R. Ahrend and W. Tompson, “Caspian oil in a global context,” Transition Studies Review, vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 163–187, May 2007, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11300-007-0132-5

Crude oil imports by country of origin, EU-27, 2000-2018. Eurostat, 2 July 2020. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=File:Crude_oil_imports_by_country_of_origin,_EU-27,_2000-2018_(million_tonnes)_F.png

Crude oil imports and prices: changes in 2022, Eurostat, 28 March 2022. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/web/products-eurostat-news/w/DDN-20230328-1

Kazakhstan's Tengiz oil field operator says logistics problem impacting output amid political crisis, S&P Global Commodity Insights, 7 January 2022. https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/oil/010622-kazakhstans-tengiz-oil-field-operator-says-logistics-problem-impacting-output-amid-political-crisis

R. Ahrend and W. Tompson, “Realising the Oil Supply Potential of the CIS: The Impact of Institutions and Policies,” Elsevier BV, Dec. 2007. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1010667

F. Guliyev and N. Akhrarkhodjaeva, “The Trans-Caspian energy route: Cronyism, competition and cooperation in Kazakh oil export,” Energy Policy, vol. 37, no. 8, pp. 3171–3182, Aug. 2009, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.04.009

F. Umbach and S. Raszewski, “Strategic Perspectives for Bilateral Energy Cooperation between the EU and Kazakhstan - Geo-economic and Geopolitical Dimensions in Competition with Russia and China’s Central Asia Policies,” Berlin, 2016. www.eucers.eu

Kottsieper, “Study on the Technical Aspects of Variable Use of Oil Pipelines-Coming into the EU from Third Countries OVERALL REPORT Prepared for the Directorate-General for Energy of the European Commission,” Munich, 2010. https://ec.europa.eu/energy/sites/ener/files/documents/2010_reporting_technical_aspects.pdf

U. Aydin and D. Azhgaliyeva, “Assessing Energy Security in The Caspian Region: The Geopolitical Implications for European Energy Strategy,” Tokyo, 2019. https://www.adb.org/publications/assessing-energy-security-caspian-region

J. Cichocki, “The Significance of Caspian Oil and Gas for Diversifying Energy Imports to the Visegrad Group Countries,” Connections, vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 23–28, 2003. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26322975?seq=1#metadata_info_tab_contents

C. Lupu, “The Russia and EU at crossroads. The role of the Black Sea region in the European energy security,” Università degli Studi di Trieste, Trieste, 2009. https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/41172151.pdf

A. Ibrayeva, D. V. Sannikov, M. A. Kadyrov, V. N. Zapevalov, E. L. Hasanov, and V. N. Zuev, “Importance of the Caspian Countries for the European Union Energy Security,” International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, vol. 8, no. 3, pp. 150–159, 2018. http://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/6263

S. Makarova, “Export routes and transportation of Caspian oil and gas,” Social and economic geography, 2005. https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/2005-03-011-014-eksportnye-marshruty-i-transportirovka-kaspiyskoy-nefti-i-gaza

M. Petrov and V. Lubenko, “Factors Influencing the Choice of Optimal Caspian Sea Shelf Hydrocarbon’s Transportation,” Bulletin of the Astrakhan State Technical University, 2009. https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/faktory-opredelyayuschie-optimalnuyu-shemu-transportirovki-uglevodorodov-shelfa-kaspiyskogo-morya

M. Petrov and V. Lubenko, “The Forecast of the Marine Oil and Gas Development and the Possible Method of Oil Transportation on the Shelf of the North Caspian Sea,” Bulletin of the Astrakhan State Technical University, 2008. https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/perspektivy-morskoy-dobychi-nefti-i-gaza-na-shelfe-severnogo-kaspiya-i-vozmozhnye-sposoby-ih-transportirovki

E. Markushina, “Economic and regional factors in the development of hydrocarbon transportation systems,” Scientific and technical statements of St. Petersburg State Polytechnic University. Economics, 2011. https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/ekonomicheskie-i-regionalnye-faktory-razvitiya-sistem-transportirovki-uglevodorodov

A. Smirnova, “Features of the development of transportation of oil and oil products by various modes of transport,” Bulletin of Kazan Technological University, 2012. https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/osobennosti-razvitiya-perevozki-nefti-i-nefteproduktov-razlichnymi-vidami-transporta

Yu. A. Shcherbanin, “Export Deliveries of Oil and Petroleum Products: Flows, Routs, Transport Mode’s Competition,” Design, Construction and Operation of Gas and Oil Pipelines and Storages, vol. 1, pp. 22-27`, 2017. https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/postavka-nefti-i-nefteproduktov-na-eksport-potoki-napravleniya-konkurentsiya-vidov-transporta/viewer

Z. B. Akhmetova, Zh. T. Kozhamkulova, and N. M. Turlybekova, “Development of transport infrastructure of Kazakhstan: problems and prospects,” Kazakh National University Bulletin, 2015. https://articlekz.com/article/15365

M. Shmulevich, “Transport Infrastructure of Russia’s Oil and Gas Industry,” Transport of the Russian Federation. Journal of Science, Practice, Economics, no. 6 (73), 2017. https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/transportnaya-infrastruktura-neftegazovoy-otrasli-rossii

M. Lawrence, S. Melibaeva, R. Bullock, and J. Moose, “Caucasus Transport Corridor for Oil and Oil Products,” Washington D.C., 2008. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/12309?show=full

Eurostat, “Crude oil imports by country of origin, EU-28, 2000-2018 (million tonnes),” 2020. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=File:Crude_oil_imports_by_country_of_origin,_EU-27,_2000-2018_(million_tonnes)_F.png

Eurostat, “Crude_oil_imports_by_country_of_origin,_EU-28,_2000-2017_(million_tonnes).png,” nrg_ti_oil, 2020. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/images/f/f2/Crude_oil_imports_by_country_of_origin%2C_EU-28%2C_2000-2017_%28million_tonnes%29.png

Eurostat, “Extra-EU_imports_of_petroleum_oil_from_main_trading_partners,_2018_and_2019.png,” 2020. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=File:Extra-EU_imports_of_petroleum_oil_from_main_trading_partners,_2018_and_2019_v2.png

P. Argus, “Argus Рынок Каспия,” Riga, Latvia, 2017. https://www.argusmedia.com/-/media/Files/sample-reports/argus-russian-caspian-markets.ashx?la=ru&hash=637F3B56CECA9F666573E8BFF91D09BB675C2284

The National Energy Report Lazenergy 2021, Ministry of Energy of the Rebulic of Kazakhstan, October 2021. https://www.kazenergy.com/upload/document/energy-report/NationalReport21_en.pdf

Downloads

Published

2023-07-07

How to Cite

Akhmedov, E. (2023). Alternative Routes for Deliveries of Kazakh Crude Oil Shipments to the European Union. Acta Technica Jaurinensis, 16(3), 116–122. https://doi.org/10.14513/actatechjaur.00705

Issue

Section

Research articles